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Biden’s Odds on Polymarket Little Changed After ABC TV Interview

The president's chances of reelection languished at 11% and his probability of dropping out lingered around 64%, according to traders on the crypto-based prediction market platform.
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U.S. Supreme Court Loss for Coinbase Leaves Company with Mixed Record

The court went against the U.S. crypto exchange on its latest, highly technical arbitration dispute, but it wasn't addressing anything significant about the digital assets space.
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Trump and Biden Tied on Polymarket, Diverging From Polls

Other election contracts show a 35% chance of a Republican sweep of the presidency and both houses of Congress and a 27% chance Democrats control the Senate after the...
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Polymarket Odds Say Columbia University President Will Keep Job

Continuing pro-Palestine protests won't lead to Minouche Shafik having a fate similar to Claudine Gay, who was recently forced to resign as Harvard's president, the prediction market signals. Plus:...
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Free Money? Polymarket Bet Pays 8% if China Doesn’t Invade Taiwan

Betting against an invasion on the prediction market may yield almost 8x as much as Taiwan government bonds. Plus: Mideast turmoil barely changes U.S. presidential odds.
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What a Judge Said About the SEC’s Suit Against Coinbase

A federal judge had a lot to say about the SEC's claims in its suit against Coinbase.
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Want To Track the Speculative Frenzy in Bitcoin Market, Here’s How

Speculative frenzy characterised by irrational exuberance and greed is an infamous sign of an impending market top.
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MOON Holder Makes 550% on Predictions Platform Polymarket as Bitcoin Moves Above $50K

The trader had bought the Yes side shares of the now-expired Polymarket-based betting contract "Will BTC hit $50,000 in February?"
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Coinbase and SEC Dig in With U.S. Judge on Whether Securities Law Applies to Listings

The federal judge must now weigh what a Coinbase lawyer characterized as "a pure question of law," and her answer could have big consequences on the crypto sector.
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Taiwanese Authorities Investigating Blockchain Betters over Polymarket Election Contract: Report

The Presidential and Vice Presidential Election and Recall Act specifically prohibits gambling on elections.
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